Thursday, February 18, 2010

Taxation

I know no one reads this blog, but I wasn't sure where else to write these thoughts. It's in my head and I guess I need to put it in words to sort out the thoughts properly.

So my opinion about fiscal conservatives is that they are supposed to believe in lower tax rates and less spending by the government. BUT (and this doesn't seem to be a very popular belief in the Republican or ESPECIALLY the Democrat parties) another belief I've heard many times and have tended to believe is this: If you lower tax rates, tax revenues will go up.

On the face of it that sounds silly and impossible, but I'm going to go through examples of why I think this could actually be true. But I don't know for sure. Does anyone?

But first, I was thinking about government spending. As the population of the US has grown (explosively), government spending has followed. Obviously more management has become necessary. And I could be wrong here (this is all just a rough theory) but it seems that spending per citizen keeps going up. Let's think about how other companies work. As a company grows, they buy more and sell more. Same with the government; they provide more goods and services and therefore must buy more. As a company grows, it becomes more efficient. True, more people doing more jobs means there can be more waste (time, etc), but the growth in efficiency outpaces that waste, otherwise a small company could make more money than a large company and no company would ever grow to be large. So theoretically, for every person a company hires, their profits go up. Part of that is because the more they sell, the more they need to buy. The more they need to buy, the cheaper they can buy things. Buying in bulk is cheaper. Quantity discounts rule in every sector of the marketplace. Even mine. If I could buy an entire shipping container full of coffee (250 bags = 38,000 pounds), I would get a substantial discount. Getting insurance for their people is cheaper in mass. Everything is cheaper the more you buy. So a larger company is able to operate, generally, more efficiently than a small one. In other words, they can do more with less (per). The government should work the same way. The larger the population becomes, the more buying power we have and the less it should cost each of us to operate efficiently. Since they're not a profit-oriented business, that would just mean they could reduce their income to match the reduction in expenditures, thus they would need less tax money from each of us to operate. Obviously that can't be an infinite model unless the fraction by which there is a percentage decrease lessens as the population grows. Which means it's possible there is virtually a rock-bottom price per citizen that is able to be achieved.
That's one theory.

Now, back to taxation. Here's how I think tax revenues could go up if tax rates went down. People generally spend all their money. If you let them keep more of the money they earn, they'll probably have incentive to work slightly harder (more return per hour= at the end of the day when you're tired and it's not worth it any more, a few more bucks might make it worth another hour's work). Workers may make more and spend more. Also, as things get cheaper you tend to buy more of them. For instance, if I'm buying tshirts to sell at DS, I get a price break at a dozen and 96. So I buy in those quantities. Also with stickers. Order 1000 and get one price; order 2000 and get them substantially cheaper. I order more. This is why at the grocery store they never say $1 off, they always say 2 for $2 cheaper. They want to make it a package deal. Buy more and save! Hell, this is the whole reason Sams Club exists.
My point is, it seems that people will spend the money they have and if things cost less, they just might buy more. If not more of what they already use, more stuff they haven't yet bought or don't usually buy. So if that savings came in the form of reduced taxes (sales tax especially), it seems that people might buy more stuff and the dollars they saved from the government would get spent and taxed anyway. And all those dollars that didn't go to the government would get passed around a lot more if more of those dollars stayed in the economy and less went to big brother. So if taxes suddenly went down on coffee, and it was slightly cheaper, you might come 6 days per week instead of 5. The increased income I received would go to (well, after hiring more employees to deal with increased traffic) (I think I just solved the jobs crisis) more steak, more whiskey, etc. So Grand Vin and Harvard Meat Market would get more of my money. And since the taxes there were less, I'd probably guy even more meat and whiskey. And they would make more money and with those profits they would...
You get the point.

Lower taxes seem to lead to an invigorated economy. Imagine what NO taxes would do.

The conclusion is that every time money changes hands, the government wants a cut. If the money changed hands more often or in greater quantities, the government would get a smaller percentage of more activity. Theoretically that would mean higher overall tax revenues because of economy stimulation. So I say they're doing it backward. Instead of the government body spending more money, they need to get all of our bodies out spending more money. That could happen by reducing the cost of spending money.

Furthermore, imagine those two things happening in tandem. Government efficiency creates a need for less tax revenues and less taxation leads to greater tax revenues. Maybe that's why they keep the tax levels where they are. It's too confusing trying to figure out how to spend less, charge less, and get more and then what do you do with the profits when you're a government? Reduce debt? Ridiculous.

Monday, January 11, 2010

Mirrors

A friend posted this quote today:

"Under capitalism, man exploits man. Under communism, it's just the opposite." --John Kenneth Galbraith (1908- 2006).

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Capitalism vs Ethics

Audra and I were having a back-and-forth email exchange today about some things that Chip over at Topeca is doing.  I feel that he is disrespecting me, and I don't like it.  So I wanted to send him a note to let him know.  I (wisely) consulted Audra after my second re-write and ultimately she re-wrote it to say what it should say (for the most part).  She left out the part about me wanting to... oh, never mind, I should probably leave it out here too. 
Anyway, something struck me about this exchange and made me think about CAPITALISM again.  Audra kept bringing up "capitalism" during the discussion, but I wasn't talking about capitalism.  I was talking about being neighborly, about respect, about honesty.  About being a slime-ball.  And Audra kept mentioning capitalism.  As I thought about this, I realized that I think of capitalism in a different light than she does.  
I operate in a capitalistic society (for now).  That's the way our economy works.  And it influences our lives in many ways.  BUT my morals, ethics, values, and decisions aren't based on the economy.  This is a totally separate system for me.  I operate my business in a capitalistic way, but the greater, dominant code that tells me how to make decisions is an ethical, societal, quality-driven system.  I can't make decisions in my business that will allow me to make more money without consulting the more important code that tells me whether it is legal, ethical, moral, will improve our quality, and is good for my employees, customers, suppliers, and of course my family and friends.  
I guess some people reverse these things.  Or segment them.  Maybe when they're attending church functions, they abide by the rules set by the church.  When they're operating their business, they abide by the rule of the almighty dollar.  When they are with family, maybe they have "family values."  I don't know.  My question would be, what code dominates their life?  I think there must be a set of rules that each of us decides is most important.  So when the rubber hits the road, those are the rules we stick to.  The dollar rules the prostitute and (al)most (all) politicians.  
I think this is where capitalism gets a bum rap.  When people operate within an orderly society and then use that order to dictate their lives, I think malevolence can come of it.  Capitalism (in my opinion) wasn't meant to rule our decisions.  And maybe this is what Paul meant when he wrote "the love of money is the root of all evil." (1 Timothy 6:10)
This might be a bad analogy, but it reminds me of a car.  Cars can be good.  They can take us where we want to go, rather quickly and efficiently, and we can carry many things without work.  But you can also use it as a getaway car after a bank robbery.  Or you can run someone down in cold blood.  Or maybe you could use it irresponsibly by getting shit-faced and driving and then running over two cyclists.  It's not the car's fault.
Neither is it capitalism's.

At least that's my opinion.

Tuesday, March 17, 2009

At least he did something right

A guy walked up to the counter today with a buddy, who bought him a cup of coffee.  
Isaiah said, "You still job hunting?"  
The guy said, "No, I started my own company."  
I said, "Did Obama help you out with some money for that?"
He said, "Yeah, I'm drawing unemployment plus I got a $25 raise...
At least he did something right."

Friday, February 20, 2009

Spreading the Wealth

A friend forwarded this link to me today.  It's a brief excerpt from a 1979 discussion between Phil Donahue and Milton Friedman about capitalism vs. other systems.   To sum up, Friedman argues (effectively, to me) that capitalism most closely resembles human nature and encourages innovation.  Yes, it's greedy, and it rewards greed, but that's how we are, as humans.  We are collectively acting in our separate self interests.   Let's not fight it: let's use a system that rewards that natural instinct.  After all, the only system worse than this one is every other one.  

Generally, I agree with Friedman.  However, what we as a society seem to be missing is that it is in our own long-term self interests not to be so greedy, not to push the system as far as it will allow, not to take advantage of every opportunity when it is disadvantageous to someone else, because the collective failure of the system is bad for our self-interests.  The mortgage crisis is a perfect example of that: too many people acting greedily, without regard to harm to others, and eventually the system collapses from being pulled in too many opposing directions.  Then we all suffer.  And then, suddenly, we collectively whine and moan and demand for someone (i.e., the government) to do something about it.   And the government responds.  Like a parent to a naughty child.

Lots of folks get upset at the phrase "spreading the wealth."  Folks don't want government sticking its nose in our finances and playing some modern-day version of Robin Hood.  But we're screaming for that help now, as shut-downs, layoffs, loan-freezes, and other market-stopping events happen as a result of our collective poor decisions.  We would have no need for oversight, for bailouts, for multi-billion-dollar stimulus packages were it not for our own irresponsibility.  --If mortgage companies had thought about the long-term harm of bad loans with variable interest rates rather than the short-term benefit from selling those loans; if home buyers had stayed within their means; if appraisers had not continued re-upping the "value" of real estate; if any one type of player in that system had thought about what was good for everyone involved in those transactions.   If we had been more responsible, we wouldn't be here, begging for help.  

So, we can blame our representatives, our presidents, our governmental bodies for spending all of this money for the various rescue attempts; but they are only doing that which we've requested.  We're the guy who went parasailing in a hurricane.  Should we leave him stuck in the tree because of his stupidity?  Or do we organize a rescue effort?  

I don't really know the right answer to the question.  My instinct is to let us get ourselves out of that tree, to learn something from the painful stupidity.  But I'm not an economist, and I don't know if we can get ourselves out.  Irrespective of the right way to get out of this mess, though, I think we should be sure to (to paraphrase the evil catch-phrase from the election) "spread the blame:" we wouldn't be talking about nationalized banking systems and bailouts if we had managed ourselves better.


Thursday, February 12, 2009

On Darwin and Capitalism and Bailouts

I heard this tonight on NPR Marketplace.  It said much of what I've been considering lately about capitalism, bailouts, and whether there is room for compassion in capitalism (or, if so, in what way there is room).

Kai Ryssdal:  Today is Charles Darwin's 200th birthday.  He is, of course, the English scientist who came up with the theory of evolution.  Over the years, that theory's been applied to all sorts of fields beyond just science and biology.  If ever there was a place the phrase "survival of the fittest" applies you'd think it'd be Wall Street.  But commentator Natasha Loder says recent events show us that selection in business is far from natural.

Natasha Loder: When the economy is strong it is easy to kid ourselves that the market is Darwinian.  In other words, that the least fit companies go out of business leaving only the strongest.  But in times like these, it is much easier to see why this isn't how our world works.

If nature were to run its course in markets right now we'd see a mass extinction.  But because many businesses serve vital social functions, we are not letting this happen.  We need the banks to survive, so we are bailing them out.  Ditto Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, or AIG.

Artificial selection is what humans do.  We regulate everything from how much capital banks must have, to how companies treat their employees.  Sure, there is some natural selection going on out there--Microsoft killed Netscape using its power as the dominant breeder.  And of course there are more companies out there than can survive.  But the big companies with political leverage are currently getting the bailouts.  Is this really the invisible hand at work?

Markets are more likely unruly gardens than the wild forest full of nature red in tooth and claw.  And we are always trimming, weeding and fertilizing this garden so it grows the way it suits us.  It's just the same inside companies.  What goes on is artificial, more like domestication of cattle than anything natural.  Companies decide what kind of employees they want, whether they are selecting for ruthlessness or brilliance.  If you want to change a company, you buy a stud CEO, cross-breed him with all the suitable specimens on staff, and send the rest off to slaughter.

It might sound brutal, but that doesn't make it Darwinian.  Darwinian is having bank bosses fight to the death for their bonuses armed only with letter openers.  Listen.  I'm not saying bad companies never get weeded out, just that what goes on is nothing like natural selection.  Should we let more companies fail?  Darwin might think so.  In the long term, propping up companies has got to be bad for efficiency.  But nobody is really looking at the long term right now.

--Natasha Loder is the science and technology correspondent for The Economist magazine.

Thursday, January 29, 2009

Bail out?

I love the term "Bail Out."  
Have you ever been in a boat that you had to bail out?  I have.  You have to bail it out because it's taking on water.  Because it either has a hole in it or the boat has too much weight in it to float.
No matter how much you bail, the boat continues to take on water unless you fix the problem.  And eventually the water will fill faster than you can bail and then the boat winds up on the bottom of the pond.  But that's ok because it makes good cover for the fish and therefore a good place to throw in your line.  

I don't know about you, but I'm pissed that our government continues to give money to failing companies.  Our economy is set up in such a way that when one company fails, other companies come in to take advantage of the opportunity in the market, if there is one.  By supporting failing companies we are weakening our economy.  A better idea would be to cut our taxes.  Then WE would spend money at companies that we want- ones that are valuable to us.  And the companies that should survive, would survive.  

I'm pissed enough that I actually went online and tried to email the Congressmen from Oklahoma.  I know, I know... it won't do any good because they don't give a shit what I think.  The process of trying to email my representatives pissed me off even more.  I found out that these Congressmen have insulated themselves from us even more by not accepting emails.  They all have webmail forms to fill out on their websites.  I went to each site and filled out every blank, and even then, Tom Cole, Frank Lucas, and Mary Fallin wouldn't let me email them my thoughts.  My zip code wasn't right (I'm not in their district), so they don't want to hear from me.  

Anyway, in my opinion we have problems.  Our government is out of control.  You should try to contact them.  Here you go:

http://coburn.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=ContactSenatorCoburn.Home